Reality check: Manufacturers returning to U.S. may mean jobs for robots, not people - best electric toothbrush 2016

Here's a little realistic investigation into the current presidential campaign, along with the commitment of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton to bring back jobs from overseas.
This is about a Michigan private company called Ranir, which, among other things, produces electric toothbrushes.
It took Ranir two years and millions of dollars to redesign the toothbrush head and bring back a full toothbrush head
From China to its fifth production at the factory in Grand Rapids.
This is exactly what Clinton and Trump have promised to accelerate in varying degrees to reconcile policy provisions in order to heal America's blue --collar woes.
The theory believes that restoring the country's manufacturing industry through tougher trade policies with China and other countries will bring jobs.
Ranir's experience seems to have supported such assumptions in the first place.
After all, it's American workers who are busy producing 13,000 toothbrushes for Wal-Mart every day.
Wal-Mart, Wal-Mart and other retailers.
There is only one problem: Since Ranir has adopted a new robotic manufacturing process, it takes only four workers to complete the work that almost certainly needs to be added to dozens more workers in China.
They spent a lot of time watching the computer to make sure
The driven machine works fine.
The four workers did not have the hustle and bustle of the traditional factory, but did housework in a clean environment
The room was arranged with a large white protective cap.
So Ranir's story actually shows that it's not easy to bring back manufacturing jobs, but how small the results are, thanks in large part to what makes returns possible: automation.
It sounds attractive.
This sounds like a simple solution.
You close the border or impose tariffs. What's amazing is that your job is coming again . "E.
The Upjohn Institute for Employment refers to protectionist policies such as Trump's proposal.
But it won't happen, he said.
"We may continue to see employment flat or declining," Hershbein said . ".
There are many reasons to question whether a more stringent trade policy alone will revive the US economy? S.
Jobs in manufacturing have reached the level of the past.
Some manufacturers deal with tariffs and other protectionist policies by simply shifting existing overseas jobs to other countries rather than returning to the USS.
Other powerful forces on the big-
Scale growth in the United StatesS.
Manufacturing jobs include regulatory costs and the absence of US suppliers. S.
However, due to technological advances, Jobs may not return even if manufacturing does.
Arnold Cummings's family has been in the cycling industry for a century and he never thought he would make anything in the United StatesS.
In 1991, he closed the doors of the New Jersey factory in tears. Like all one-
Domestic bicycle manufacturers including time
Well-known companies like Huffy and Schwinn, Kamler's company, American bicycle company, completely switch to manufacturers abroad, or buy foreign --
Supply bikesto to USS. market.
But two years ago, kamler brought a small portion of the product back from China to a rural corner of South Carolina.
He was urged by Wal.
Wal-Mart's "Made in America" campaign and the recognition that China's best manufacturing era has ended.
Today, his factory outside Shanghai has an annual turnover of more than 120%.
But automation also makes it more feasible to return work to the United States. S.
This year, Kamler will produce nearly 300,000 bicycles in Manning. C.
About as much as he produced in China in 1991.
His company had about third fewer employees than at the time.
4,000 feet overhead conveyor and latest wheels
In terms of construction equipment, his 115 employees assembled bicycles twice as fast as Chinese workers.
These are indeed new jobs in the United States, but wages are not high.
They started making $11 to $12 an hour plus health insurance for 75% employerspaid —
The Renaissance that presidential candidates sometimes suggest is not exactly the case.
Cadillac is still imported.
There are 6 million bicycles from China every year.
Its South Carolina manufacturing industry will not be profitable for at least the next few years.
Although he expanded his production and capacity in the United StatesS.
He does not expect a significant increase in employment.
Next year, Kamler plans to buy 450,000 bicycles in South Carolina, up 50%.
But the company may have only 30 more employees.
He's still investing in a state. of-the-
Art painting operation and want to make aluminum edges by yourself instead of importing.
He recalled how the bike rims were completely handmade in 1991, cutting first, then welding, sanding, and finally punching, and then being sent to paint or chrome platingplating.
Today, he said, a new expensive Dutchman
System can bring 20-
In about 90 seconds, the aluminum foot part and the edge of the finished product are produced.
To ensure that the machine is not blocked, the company needs only one operator.
"It's so automated, it's encouraging," he said today about bicycle manufacturing . ".
Some economists believe thatS.
By eliminating the country's commodity trade deficit, it can bring back as many as 2 million factory jobs, which reached a record $745 billion last year, half of China's.
But things are not that simple.
"Hiring someone is the last thing you do because it can last a long time --
"The word commitment," said Augustine Tantillo, president of the Council of National Textile Organizations.
"Our mindset is, 'Can we improve efficiency by using better technology as the first means, and thus increase production in the first place?
Tantillo remembers when 1.
About 20 years ago, 8 million people worked in the textile and garment manufacturing industry.
Today, industrial output, including the cotton and fiber industries, has reached about 600,000, some of which have fallen due to technology and cheap overseas labor. Although U. S.
Proportion of manufacturing jobs to all non-manufacturing jobs
Since the end of the Second World War, agricultural work has been declining, with a particularly serious decline from 2000 to 2009.
During this period, the number of jobs in the factory dropped from more than 17 million to 11. 5 million;
About half of them occurred between 2000 and 2003. S.
In a relatively brief and moderate recession. (
It has picked up to about 12 since then. 3 million. )
When Trump and Clinton accused China, they did not deviate altogether --base.
Research shows that a large part of the loss of manufacturing jobs in 2000 is the result of a surge in Chinese imports and competition, which in itself is the result of changes in the US economy. S.
The 2000 policy enabled China to establish a permanent normal trade relationship with the World Trade Organization.
This name eliminates the uncertainty of the annual tariff update and stimulates a large scale
Expanding investment and activities from the United StatesS.
Peter Short of Yale University said that with the rise of China, Chinese enterprises have accelerated the trend of global production and trade flows, he wrote a paper on the issue with the Fed's Justin Pearce.
However, part of this shift includes
Massive investment in technology and processes
This has not only increased productivity but also suppressed domestic employment.
From 2000 to 2009, domestic employment in the automotive and parts manufacturing sector fell by half to about 650,000.
Since the mid-term economic recovery
2009, car sales have taken off, and total output in the industry has more than doubled to $662.
5 billion last year.
Another government measure on cars
Manufacturing value excluding energy and raw material costs shows that the industry has tripled between 2009 and 2015.
But in the same period, employment in the industry grew by only about 40%, well below the level in 2000.
This difference can be seen from thousands of robots and other streamlined processes, including advances in transportation and information technology, which reduce the demand for manpower at US car factories.
Since 2000, the three traditional domestic automobile manufacturers
General Motors, Ford and Chrysler
According to the port report and data from the automotive research center in Ann Arbor, Michigan, the labor time required to assemble the car has been reduced by half to about 22 hours.
The industry has not been completed.
Many of the labor hours of car production are in the final assembly phase, where seats, dashboards and other components are installed.
Jay Barron, chairman of the Center for Automotive Research, said that while most of these tasks are done manually, they will eventually be done by smaller, more nimble robots.
"This will be the next big growth area," he said . "don. lee@latimes.
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