a bad job report - personal care electronics

Today's employment report is not impressive.
But it is almost certain that it is exaggerated.
This job report shows (
Seasonal adjustment)
Get 94,000 jobs.
But it fixed a lot of jobs in the previous months.
As a result, the current estimated employment figure for November is only 46,000 higher than the figure we were told for October.
Adding 51,000 jobs from the government's birth
Death mode "to explain the work of the new company.
There is no seasonal adjustment to the last figure, so it is inaccurate to say that all the work of the month comes from the statistician estimate, not the survey itself.
But we can see the impact of the past 12 months. The birth-
The number of deaths is estimated to increase by 1,128,000sector jobs —
The government says 93% of the 1,216,000 jobs are new.
The actual survey of employers showed a significant increase in their job opportunities by 88,000, an increase of 7,000 per month.
So far, statisticians have to know that they overestimate jobs.
The government says the models they use "may be difficult to make reliable estimates at times of economic turning points or sudden changes in trends ".
Eventually, these numbers will be corrected using more reliable but slower data on unemployment insurance premiums.
As I pointed out last week, personal income figures have fallen sharply following these figures.
However, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has not yet included such data.
Until then, those who wish to do so can pretend that the work situation is more optimistic than it is now.
Comments are no longer accepted.
What is the government? answer :-
A bureaucratic association, they provide statistical lies to avoid public rebellion and, in my opinion, the Bush administration is responsible for reporting this information, suspecting exponential jumps.
For those of us who don't wear a suit in the real world, don't get paid six digits or more, don't think the business channel has the most important news to read or watch, the economy is in poor condition.
Most of us are aware of those who are unemployed, looking for a job and not finding a job, who are having difficulties in paying some bills and other difficulties.
Employment reports should be thrown away and a real-world report should be established explaining why millions of people stopped looking for jobs because they couldn't find them.
Is it necessary to create 200,000 jobs per month to sustain economic growth in the United States? S. economy?
There has been no such job growth during Bush's presidency.
It's not hard to understand why the New York Times continues to try to keep the economy down: a good economy is good for the Bush administration.
Despite the recession
Among the New York Times and the Democratic Party's main competitors, the economy has shown strong resilience and core strength.
I would like to know if the New York Times did an in-depth study of the jobs figures for the Clinton administration period.
I bet they just accepted what the stats described and didn't destroy them in some way.
One question for the New York Times is: has the way employment has been reported changed since the Clinton administration?
If not, why did you suddenly find them so misleading?
Are they not always seasonally adjusted and modified for the next few months?
Thank you, Floyd Norris.
The various approaches to assessing job creation, and the way our leaders on both sides use them, seem to be fraudulent.
This should not surprise anyone.
That is why, as a good citizen, we should all review our government representative and criticize them if necessary.
We should not be labeled "treason" for doing so, this is the new
Disadvantages like suggestions.
Of course, the same is true of which party is in power.
This is an example of how we do not have a "free market", but rather an example based on distortions that are manipulated by those who want to exaggerate the success of their policies.
After all the reports reviewed and publicized by the Bush administration, who can trust any official government statistics in Washington?
We know that all environmental reports are being re-reported.
Written to cater to the Republican point of view
We know the general surgeon was ordered to lie.
Iraq War report . . . . . . Don't let me start.
The truth is the first victim of the Bush administration's global war on terrorism. Hooray!
To Floyd Norris.
Someone needs to face the problem.
Over the years, the government has released weak employment data, while showing a steady or declining unemployment rate.
Over the years, I have heard or read many economists suggesting that our economy needs to create about 180,000 jobs per month, and that even how many people enter the labor market remain stable.
When the employment report tells us that only 69,000 or 80,000 or 121,000 jobs were created in the month, how can the government say that the unemployment rate has fallen.
It just doesn't count.
But, again, the government is led by good old boys who seem to have removed a page from Enron's accounting script.
The Bush administration will certainly not hesitate to twist the facts a little bit to suit its needs, and who are they fooling one month after another?
. . . . . . If they think they can fool the market/consumer mood, wake up the fool, and that's gone.
The government should limit reckless lending in about 2003 of the time. 2005.
Over the years, the streets shuffle "exotic products "(
Read: sub-prime, CDOs, optionsARMs, etc. )globally. If they (
Read: government, streets, and fools solddimensional up-up story i. e.
Cudlow, Abby Cohen, Kramer . . . . . . )
I don't think there will be any progress in the market other than going up until the tough time next year.
The media must expose such a plan to "capitalize profits and socialize losses" so that fools/poor people can hopefully realize what is going on.
We can rely entirely on these government employment reports, because not only do they always seem to exaggerate monthly employment growth, but there is no reason why millions of Americans who are not in the workforce, who have completely given up looking for a job or are working part-time --
Time, unable to find the complete-time work.
I can't imagine the unemployment rate won't be close to 8-
Today there are 10% people in this country.
Typical behavior, therefore, can be expected at all levels of the Bush administration.
Because statisticians know that the numbers are too high and they are deliberately misrepresented, it shows that there is indeed a lack of integrity.
History has proved that "denial" is a feature of the Republican Party and has proved that this feature is a long-term lie that Bush often shows (and associates).
The unemployment rate is still below 5%, and even allowing that number to be a bit optimistic is still notable.
Are there people who are not fully employed?
Are you looking for someone with difficulties?
Yes, it's always there even at the best of times.
No matter how much opponents complain, the unemployment rate is very good and very popular in most countries in the world.
Before anyone on the left.
The right-wing fascist who likes to post here accused me of being an out-of-
Touch the rich guy and make six numbers. I don't-
I make $37,000 a year.
Regardless of whether or not the guess object of riot is considered good or bad, I always think "but what did the work do and what did it pay?
"There's nothing to brag about McD and Walmart type jobs. Part-
Time work is not a good sign.
These numbers will be more useful. It sets out how much work is within the various wage ranges where the minimum wage reaches the minimum wage? ? ?
Within a salary range of $5000 per year.
Recently, it was reported that a large number of undocumented Mexican workers returned to Mexico because they could not find a job in the United States.
Most people are considered to be part of the "out of books" economy.
Does this further improve the accuracy of these work and unemployment statistics? How sad Mr.
Norris, the most recent work report has only increased by 46,000.
Maybe you and your LiberalsY.
If the report shows a 46,000 reduction in the amount of time that has not exploded, the time will be the content.
So Democrats can jump down and kill people on the report like a lion on a zebra. ? ? 10 & 11-Amen
What kind of work are these other than endless lies and misinformation?
Who said that the statistics did not report illegal immigrants at all!
Like all the statistics, this can be very deceptive.
The question to ask is, what work has been added?
While it is always good to get anyone employed, or not to receive unemployment benefits, or other forms of support, the key focus needs to be on whether the work that has been created is equal to the work that was initially lost.
Thank you for this column.
The Bush administration has to stop-we can't do nothing for the next year and two months to keep them lying to us.
I wouldn't be surprised if there was really unemployment, not the "proceeds" they claim.
I don't think the real problem is the numbers or their estimates for the FAC.
The real problem is that the economy is creating more and better jobs.
You can cut, cut or rotate it, but there may be 10 million Americans who want a job but can't find a job right now.
Labor force of over 0. 132 billion people
The population growth rate is 1.
An additional 32 million jobs are required each year.
Productivity increases by at least 1% per year;
And the total number is 2.
An increase of 5 million people is required each year, with a net increase of 210,000 jobs per month.
I don't think there has been more than a month or two since reporting 210,000 jobs in January 2001.
Wages cannot grow and life cannot be improved without work.
Since most of the jobs created are partial, the UE rate is still low
Time, low wage work.
In addition, UE officials denied valid UE claims through the private sector's "right to work" mentality, held multiple hearings in the event of questioning, and made false allegations or vague excuses to the employere.
The right to disobey or open fire at random for no reason.
This is a direct result of the demonization of the Union, which has collective bargaining agreements and grievance procedures to protect workers.
Illegal Labor is "alternative workers" who cross the picket line of union agricultural workers, why so many people are employed in the construction industry, but there are very few wages and benefits . . . . . . .
Then there is a wage bid on the scale of the contracted Union.
The private sector makes up the gap, which is why construction costs are rising every year.
No Union blamed the cost.
The union built the middle class and the suburbs.
They are now raped and looted.
I did dig this data out of VLC, and what type of work was created in November-about what riot was speculating about.
"In the field of leisure and hotel services, employment in food services and drinking places continued to rise in November (17,000).
The food service industry has added 306,000 jobs this year.
The number of accommodation employment increased slightly in November (11,000).
Retail employment rose slightly in November (24,000).
Job opportunities have increased in clothing stores, health and personal care stores, electronics and home appliances stores, and furniture and household goods stores.
Employment of general businessmen-
Dise stores, including department stores, fell 11,000 in the month . . . . . . .
In November, social assistance employment increased by 10,000 per cent, with 94,000 persons in the hotel's restaurant and 62 000 persons in social services/assistance in the jobs claimed.
62,000 jobs or 67.
39%. it is said that 92,000 of low or moderate high-paying jobs at 99% are likely to be without health insurance.
I 've seen a lot of "Doubt" and ignorance in many of my previous comments that seem eager to bash Bush and make the economy look worse than the number of jobs in the report.
The real question is, is the very optimistic ADP employment report or government report released earlier this week more representative and transactional?
Critics like to use ADP reports as a benchmark against government reports and note that the former often misses the latter's data.
But I wonder if the government report or the ADP report is the most accurate.
Obviously, they use different methods involving different statisticians.
This week, the market bought ADP data aggressively, allowing only the government to report a slight crackdown on the party on Friday.
What does the market tell us?
If so, what will they tell us next week?
Household surveys show 1.
08mm there is no employment growth in the B/D model, only a practical survey of actual households. 2006-11-01 1456232006-12-01 1459262007-01-01 1459572007-02-01 1459192007-03-01 1462542007-04-01 1457862007-05-01 1459432007-06-01 1461402007-07-01 1461102007-08-01 1457942007-09-01 1462572007-10-01 1460072007-11-
01 146703 is not much different from 1.
2mm job numbers for payroll surveys?
The Fed does also track the "underemployed" population of P/T staff who want to get F/T jobs and those who think there is a major conspiracy.
A small part of the population.
If you retire or are not looking for a job, you are not unemployed.
F/T students are not unemployed.
Retirees are not unemployed.
It was nice to see the comments reliably divided into "Oh my God, Bush's lies the Stormtroopers have to stop! ! !
The libertarian pantyhose division of The Times is a group of pessimists!
"Needless to say, I am very dismissive of many of you who, in fact, cannot produce pure reflective thinking.
Freud, what is the number you mentioned compared to the rest of the year and the number of previous years?
Freud Norris response: percentage of new jobs after birth
The death model has been much smaller in the past few years than the survey.
I should probably add that while I don't think most companies are willing to hire employees right now, they haven't started firing a lot of them yet.
If this happens, the recession is almost a sure thing.
Contrary to what some commenters have said, I have no doubt that the model used by the statistical staff of the Bureau of Labor Statistics represents a reasonable effort to produce accurate figures.
I think it has now been closed for reasons explained by the Bureau.
But it's not a political conspiracy, and I don't think there would be any difference in the bureau's work if there were Democrats in the White House.
Floyd Norris, chief financial correspondent for The New York Times, reported on the financial and economic sectors.
Binyamin Appelbaum reports business and economic topics for The New York Times Washington Branch.
Shaila Dewan is an economic reporter for The New York Times.
Annie Lowy reports on economic policy for the New York Times Washington Branch.
Eduardo Porter is an economic columnist for The New York Times. Nelson D.
Schwartz is an economic reporter for The New York Times.
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